Publication:
打擊表現之生涯峰期研究-以中華職棒球員為例

dc.contributor.advisor王建興
dc.contributor.advisorWang, Chien-Hsin
dc.creator張舜傑
dc.creatorChang, Shun-Chieh
dc.date2013
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-27T08:26:23Z
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-30T15:38:11Z
dc.date.available2017-02-27T08:26:23Z
dc.date.issued2017-02-27T08:26:23Z
dc.description學位類別:碩士
dc.description校院名稱:國立臺灣體育運動大學
dc.description系所名稱:休閒運動管理研究所
dc.description學號:19902014
dc.description畢業學年度:101年
dc.description論文頁數:60頁
dc.description.abstract  本研究旨在了解中華職棒元年至二十三年所有本土打者之生涯打擊表現,以攻擊指數(OPS)為指標了解球員生涯表現趨勢,並探討全壘打、保送、打擊能力與盜壘能力,等四項數據是否依年齡不同而存在年長優勢或年輕優勢,進而了解台灣球員之生涯技能態勢。本研究以中華職棒元年開始161名本土打者之逐年表現為樣本,並以描述性統計、獨立樣本T檢定與one-way ANOVA進行分析。結果顯示:本土打者之OPS生涯高峰出現在25歲,其各項技能分別如下全壘打接近於年長球員技能,會隨著年齡增長而有提升的現象,保送雖未呈現相當明顯的趨勢,但仍偏屬年長球員技能;盜壘能力屬於年輕球員技能,會隨著年紀提升而逐年下滑,打擊能力則並未出現特別明顯的偏向。透過本研究,希望可助於了解本土球員生涯技能之態勢,並提供球團與球員洽談合約及台灣職棒日後發展之參考依據。
dc.description.abstract  The purpose of this study was to explore the career peak performance of CPBL domestic players during 1990 -2012. The OPS was employed as the main indicator to explore the players’ career performance trend. In addition, HR, BB, AVG and SB were analyzed based on age in order to determine if these four performance indices were young talent or old talent skills. The data included 161 players. Using descriptive statistics, t-test and one-way ANOVA to analyze the data, the result revealed that the peak age was 25 years old. HR and BB were old player’ skills (performance improves as players get older); SB was young player’s skill (performance decreases when players get older), while AVG did not reveal any particular orientation. The results provided practical implication to contract negotiation and the overall development of CPBL.
dc.description.tableofcontents目 次 第壹章 緒論……………………………………………………………………1  第一節 研究背景與動機……………………………………………………1  第二節 研究目的……………………………………………………………5  第三節 研究問題……………………………………………………………5  第四節 研究範圍……………………………………………………………6  第五節 研究限制……………………………………………………………6  第六節 名詞解釋……………………………………………………………7 第貳章 文獻探討………………………………………………………………9  第一節 職業運動員的年齡與運動表現……………………………………9  第二節 球員技巧的演變……………………………………………………11  第三節 衡量職棒球員能力的指標…………………………………………11 第參章 研究方法………………………………………………………………18  第一節 研究流程……………………………………………………………18  第二節 研究架構……………………………………………………………20  第三節 研究對象……………………………………………………………21  第四節 資料處理……………………………………………………………21 第肆章 結果與討論……………………………………………………………22  第一節 球員年齡分佈與平均生涯長度……………………………………22  第二節 中華職棒打者各年齡OPS之表現…………………………………27  第三節 全壘打與保送之表現………………………………………………31  第四節 打擊率與盜壘之表現………………………………………………40 第伍章 結論與建議……………………………………………………………48  第一節 結論…………………………………………………………………48  第二節 建議…………………………………………………………………49 參考文獻…………………………………………………………………………51  附件……………………………………………………………………………56
dc.format.extent1319710 bytes
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://ir.ntus.edu.tw/handle/987654321/71297
dc.languagezh-TW
dc.publisher休閒運動管理研究所
dc.relation.isbasedon一、中文部分 曾韋翔(2008)。職棒球員生涯表現分析。未出版碩士論文,國立台灣體育運動大學運動管理學系碩士班,台中市。 黃高賢、呂佳霙、林惠美、周建智、黃美瑤(2003)。學生運動員生涯規劃之探討。北體學報,11,181-192。 劉必然(2012)。日本職棒打者表現與年齡分析。為出版碩士論文,國立台灣體育運動大學運動管理學系碩士班,台中市。 藍天勇(2005)。本土職棒野手打擊表現與隔年薪資之分析研究。未出版碩士論文,國立嘉義大學體育與健康休閒研究所,嘉義縣。 中華職棒官方網站(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日,http://www.cpbl.com.tw/html/cpbl.asp 台灣棒球維基館(2007),擷取日期2012年7月2日,http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E6%89%93%E6%93%8A%E4%B8%89%E5%9C%8D 台灣棒球維基館(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日,http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E5%9C%8B%E8%A8%93%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E6%A3%92%E7%90%83%E9%9A%8A 台灣棒球維基館(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日,http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E5%B0%9A%E6%AD%A6%E9%B3%B3%E5%87%B0%E9%9A%8A 台灣棒球維基館(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日,http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E5%9C%8B%E8%A8%93%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E6%A3%92%E7%90%83%E9%9A%8A 台灣棒球維基館(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日, http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E4%B8%AD%E8%8F%AF%E8%81%B7%E6%A3%92%E4%BA%8C%E8%BB%8D 台灣棒球維基館(2013),擷取日期2013年6月30日, http://twbsball.dils.tku.edu.tw/wiki/index.php/%E4%B8%AD%E8%8F%AF%E8%81%B7%E6%A5%AD%E6%A3%92%E7%90%83%E5%A4%A7%E8%81%AF%E7%9B%9F 二、英文部分 Albert, J., & Bennett, J. (2003). Curveball: Baseball, statistics, and the role of chance in the game. New York: Copernicus Books. Baumer, B. S. (2008). Why on-base percentage is a better indicator of future performance than batting average: An algebraic proof. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 4(2), 1101-1101. Bennett, J. M. & Flueck, J. A. (1983). An evaluation of major league baseball offensive performance models. The American Statistician, 37(1), 76-82. Bradbury, J. C. (2009). Peak athletic performance and ageing Evidence from baseball. Journal of Sports Sciences, 27(6), 599-610. Click, L., Davenport, C., Demause, N., Goldman, S., Keri, J., Perry, D., et al. (2006). Baseball Between the Numbers. New York: Basic Books. Cover, T. M. & Keilers, C. W. (1977). An offensive earned-run average for baseball. Operation Research, 25(5), 729-740. Dinerstein, M. (2007). Free agency and contract options :How Major League Baseball team value players. Retrieved December 1, 2009, From Stanford University, Department of Economics: http://economics.stanford.edu/files/Theses/Theses_2007/Dinerstein2007.pdf Fair, R. C. (2005). Estimated Age Effects in Baseball,Retrieved June 20, 2013, from http://works.bepress.com/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1011&context=ray_fair Friend, J. & LeUnes, A. D. (1990). Predicting baseball player performance. Journal of Sport Behavior, 13(2), 73-86. Hakes, J. K. & Sauer, R. D. (2006). An economic evaluation of the Moneyball hypothesis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 20(3), 173-185. Hakes, J. & Turner, C. (2007, July 31). Pay, productivity and aging in Major League Baseball. MPRA Paper No. 4326. Retrieved June 21, 2012, from http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/4326/ James, B. (2003). The new Bill James historical baseball abstract. New York: Free Press. Lindsey, G. R. (1958). Satistical data useful for the operation of a baseball team. Operation Research, 7(2), 197-207. Major League Baseball (n.d.). Baseball basic abbreviation. Retrieved December 15, 2009, from http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/official_info/baseball_basics/abbreviations.jsp?c_id=min Over, R. (1994). Age and level of performance in major league baseball. Journal of Aging and Physical Activity, 2, 221-232. Pankin, M. D. (1978). Evaluating offensive performance in baseball. Operation Research, 26(4), 610-619. Perry, D. (2004). Measuring Offense, Baseball Prospectus Basics, Retrieved July 2, 2012, from http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=2562 Potgieter, J. R., & Kidd, M. (2011). Developing a peak performance profile measurement for sport. South African Journal for Research in Sport, Physical Education and Recreation, 33(3), 129-138. Schell, M. J. (1999). Baseball's all-time best hitters. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Schulz, R. & Curnow, C. (1988). Peak performance and age among superathletes:Track and field, swimming, baseball, tennis, and golf. Journal of Gerontology, 43(5), 113-120. Witnauer, W. D., Rogers, R. G., & Saint Onge, J. M.(2007). Major league baseball career length in the 20th century. Population Research and Policy Review,26(4), 371-386
dc.subject攻擊指數;年長球員技能;年輕球員技能
dc.subjectOPS;old talent;young talent
dc.title打擊表現之生涯峰期研究-以中華職棒球員為例
dc.titleTHE STUDY OF CPBL NATIVE POSITION PLAYERS’ PEAK OF BATTING PERFORMANCE
dc.typethesis
dspace.entity.typePublication

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