張振崗Chang, Chen-Kang2017-02-222025-07-302017-02-222017-02-22https://ir.ntus.edu.tw/handle/987654321/70788學位類別：碩士校院名稱：國立台灣體育大學系所名稱：運動管理學系碩士班學號：19505002畢業學年度：96年論文頁數：75頁　　許多研究指出，可以運用統計方法，分析各項統計數據，預測棒球員未來的表現。在美國棒球數據的對象並不僅侷限在職棒場上，在選手進入職棒前的大學棒球數據，也是重要的選秀參考指標，但在我國業餘棒球卻鮮少受到重視，職棒選秀也無參考依據。近年來我國大學開始有了較長期性的比賽，可提供較有意義的數據進行分析。本研究目的為探討我國大學棒球員在其大學比賽生涯中，各項投打成績表現的成長，並與美國大學棒球員進行比較。本研究根據2004-2007年全國成棒甲組春季聯賽的資料，分析球員各項表現數據連續兩年間相關性，找出能正確反映球員能力之數據，藉此探討我國大學棒球員之成績成長，並與2003-2007年美國NCAA第一級（Division I）大學棒球，六個主要聯盟(BIG 10、BIG 12、BIG EAST、Pacific 10、Southeastern Conference 與Atlantic Coast Conference)的球員成績進行比較，探討我國與美國大學球員的成績成長差異，並作為我國職棒球隊在選秀時的參考。研究結果顯示，我國大學球員在大部分的投打表現數據並沒有顯著的成長；而美國大學球員，多數的投打數據連續兩年均為顯著相關，且美國大學球員的大部分投打數據，隨著年齡增加而顯著成長。因此本研究建議我國大學球員與教練在訓練上，以及棒球協會在比賽制度改進上，可能都需要改善。未來的研究可蒐集更多年的比賽資料，並針對球員特性或守備位置進行更詳細的分類比較。　　Previous studies have indicated that the performance of professional baseball players could be predicted by analyzing their past statistical data. The statistical analysis of baseball performance can be applied to not only professional players but also college players before the draft. In Taiwan, the analysis of college baseball data received very little attention. Recently, colleges play more games in a season, providing more meaningful statistics for analysis. The aim of this study was to analyze the development of the performance data in Taiwanese college players. The results were compared to American college players. Data from Baseball Spring Tournament in Taiwan during 2003-2007 and regular season games in the 6 major conferences (BIG 10、BIG 12、BIG EAST、Pacific 10、Southeastern Conference, and Atlantic Coast Conference) in NCAA Division I was used in this study. The correlations of performance between 2 consecutive years were used to find the category that can truly reflect the ability of players. The difference in the development of college players between Taiwan and the US was compared. The results of this study indicated that most Taiwanese college baseball players showed no significant correlation between the performance in 2 consecutive years, made no significant progress in their statistics. On the other hand, the American players showed significant correlations in the performance in 2 consecutive years, and made significant progress. Therefore, this study suggests that the training and game system for Taiwan college baseball players may need to be reconsidered and improved. Future studies may collect data from more years and analyze players with different characteristics or positions.目　次 第一章　緒論……………………………………………………………1 　第一節　研究背景與動機……………………………………………1 　第二節　研究目的……………………………………………………2 　第三節　研究對象與範圍……………………………………………2 第二章　文獻回顧與探討………………………………………………3 　第一節　棒球統計數據名詞解釋……………………………………3 　第二節　大學與二軍棒球數據之重要性……………………………8 　第三節　評估球員之統計方法………………………………………9 第三章　研究方法………………………………………………………15 第四章　結果與討論……………………………………………………18 　第一節　結果…………………………………………………………18 　第二節　討論…………………………………………………………20 第五章　結論與建議……………………………………………………25 　第一節　結果…………………………………………………………25 　第二節　討論…………………………………………………………25 參考文獻…………………………………………………………………26234266 bytesapplication/pdf大學棒球;職業棒球;棒球統計College Baseball;Professional Baseball;Baseball Datathesis