Publication:

足球比賽射門得分之分析~以2010年南非世界盃足球賽為例~

本研究目的乃針對2010年南非世界盃足球賽在不同射門時間、不同部位射門得分、不同司職位置射門得分、不同射門區域、及不同射門前之控球次數等之分析。研究對象是以本屆世界盃足球錦標賽的32個參賽國家為主。方法利用中華民國足球協會提供之2010年FIFA南非世界盃技術分析報告及FIFA錄製比賽射門得分鏡頭之DVD為資料，對照無誤後，經由影帶慢速觀看，並記錄各場比賽射門 (Shooting) 得分過程，所得的資料經由分析結果顯示：

一、在本屆射門時間、不同部位、不同司職位置、區域及得

分前之控球次數等射門得分均達顯著差異 (*p<.05)。

二、射門時間：下半場以76－90分入球最多，而下半場以61－75分也是入球第二高峰期，均達顯著差異（χ 2值=13.193）。

三、射門區域：以A區域入球數59球，佔40.7％最高；其次是B區域為47球，佔32.4％；依數據顯示射門成功之區域仍以A、B區所佔的比率最高，並出現均顯著差異（χ2值=34.062）。

四、不同部位射門：以右腳射門得分81球最多，佔55.9％，結果顯示與慣用腳有關，均出現顯著差異（χ2值=91.110）。

五、不同司職位置射門：前鋒入球79球，佔總入球數54.5％，達到顯著差異（χ2值= 96.186），顯示前鋒仍是扮演主要得分的角色。

六、不同得分前控球次數射門:為一次控球射門得分74球最高，佔51%，均達顯著差異（χ2值=94.414）。

This study analyses the goals scored at the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa by examining the following data: time of shooting, shooting surface, playing position of shooter, shooting area, and number of touches taken to control before shooting.The subjects of study were the 32 teams participating in the 2010 FIFA World Cup.The main sources of data were the 2010 FIFA World Cup Technical Report and Goals DVD provided by the Chinese Taipei Football Association.Data on the goals scored was collected using slow-motion analysis of the FIFA Goals DVD.The statistical significance of the data obtained was tested using descriptive statistics and χ 2 (chi-square) test.The results obtained are as follows:

1. Statistical significance (*p < .05) was observed in each of the following areas: time of shooting, shooting surface, playing position of shooter, shooting area, and number of touches taken to control before shooting.

2. Time of shooting: The largest number of goals was scored during the 76-90 minute period in the 2nd half. The next highest was during the 61-75 minute period of the 2nd half. In each of the above 2 periods a statistical significance was observed (χ 2 = 13.193).

3. Shooting Area: The largest number of goals, 59 (40.7% of total goals), was scored from area A; next was area B (47 goals, 32.4%). The data showed that scoring success was mostly achieved in these two areas. A statistical significance of χ 2 = 34.062 was obtained.

4. Shooting surface: The largest number of goals was scored with the right foot (81 goals, 55.9%). The data showed that most goals were scored with the players’ strongest foot, obtaining a statistical significance of χ 2 = 91.110.

5. Playing position: 79 goals (54.5%) were scored by forwards, with a statistical significance of χ 2 = 96.186, proving that the forwards still play the main role in goalscoring.

6. Number of touches taken to control before shooting: 74 goals (51%) were scored after using just 1 touch to control the ball, making a statistical significance of χ 2 = 94.414.