Publication:

足球比賽中「臨門一腳」之研究~以2008年北京奧林匹克運動會男子足球賽為例~

本研究目的是分析足球比賽中「臨門一腳」的狀況，藉以提供國內各級教練及指導員在擬定賽前計畫及訓練內容作參考依據，以足球水準最高的2008年北京奧林匹克運動會男子足球賽之16個國家32場比賽為研究對象。利用球賽分析記錄，透過電腦網路、電視錄影的拍攝，經分析歸納，評估比賽過程中的優劣，並將記錄下來，在進行分析比較擷取本研究所需個各項數據，所得的資料以描述性統計與χ2統計方法考驗 (Chi-Square test) 來檢定各項差異情形。經由分析研究結果後，獲得以下結論：一、在本屆入球得分不同區域、不同時段、不同部位、不同司職位置、入球得分前之進攻方式都達顯著差異(*p<.05)。二、本屆入球區域：以B區左右兩側為主要進球區域；三、在不同時段：以最後15分鐘為進球高峰期；四、不同部位：以右腳射門得分最多，與慣用腳有關；五、不同司職位置：前鋒仍是本屆主要射門得分入球主力；六、入球得分前之進攻方式：以短傳球為進攻最佳得分方式，其中以撞牆式2打1、穿越傳球方式為最多；定位球進攻戰術成為行之有效的重要得分之一，是破壞密集防守的重要手段。

To find the best strategy for competitive football games, the video records of 32 games played by 16 national teams in the IOC Olympic Games in Beijing were carefully analyzed. Especially, the every situation of “shots on goal” were recorded and analyzed. The statistically crucial factors that affect the successful “shots on goal” were various areas in front of gate, time course in game, foot or head, field players and the traps. The major successful “shots on goal” were the bilateral sides of B area. The last 15 minutes were the critical time courses for successful “shots on goal”. Much greater successful “shots on goal” in right foot than left foot. Most successful shots were performed by spearhead. The short pass exhibited greater successful shot especially, the wall pass/ one-two and through pass were the most. The place kicks were the most important opportunities for successful shot.