Publication:

高中籃球聯賽（HBL）三位置球員攻守技術與名次相關之分析研究

研究之目的在比較高中籃球聯賽八支球隊的三位置（後衛、前鋒、中鋒）球員在十二項技術表現的差異性；並由十一項技術預測三位置球員之比賽效率；進而求取各隊三位置球員的比賽效率與球隊名次的相關及預測。

本研究是以九十二學年度高中籃球聯賽(HBL)男子甲組球隊在八強準決賽登錄並且實際出場比賽的球員為研究對象。共計8隊28場次，後衛41人次、前鋒30人次、中鋒21人次。以獨立樣本單因子變異數分析（One-way ANOVA）來解釋各隊及所有後衛球員、前鋒球員及中鋒球員間十二項攻守統計項目及比賽效率的差異情形。若各變項之F值達顯著水準者，則以薛費氏多重比較分析法（Scheffe’s multiple comparison）進行事後比較。

並以Spearman 等級相關法進行各隊三位置（後衛、前鋒、中鋒）球員的比賽效率與球隊名次間相關分析及預測；最後將三位置球員表現之十一項攻守統計以逐步迴歸（Stepwise regression）法分別對後衛球員、前鋒球員及中鋒球員進行比賽效率的預測。

研究結果顯示：三位置球員在平籃板數、平均助攻數及平均阻攻數的表現上，後衛和中鋒具有顯著性差異，其中中鋒球員平均籃板表現比後衛球員好；後衛球員比中鋒球員有較佳的平均助攻的表現；而在平均阻攻數的表現上中鋒球員比後衛球員佳。而在各隊三位置球員的比較結果，大部分都未達顯著差異，故研假設除第五、六、八外其餘各項應予以接受。

在預測後衛球員的比賽效率時，依序可選入平均得分、平均籃板、平均助攻及平均抄截等四項；預測前鋒球員的比賽效率時，依序可選入平均得分、平均籃板、平均助攻、平均抄截及平均失誤等五項；預測中鋒球員的比賽效率時，依序可選入平均得分、平均籃板、平均阻攻、平均抄截、罰球中率及平均助攻等六項。

各隊三位置（後衛、前鋒、中鋒）球員的比賽效率與球隊名次的相關結果，發現各隊後衛、前鋒及中鋒球員的比賽效率與各隊的比賽名次都未達顯著相關而無法有效進行名次預測，研究假設十六應予接受。

Abstract

The objective of this analysis is to compare the differences in the performance of twelve kinds of techniques performed by basketball players playing the three positions (guard, forward, center); and predict the efficiency of the match from eleven kinds of techniques performed by basketball players playing the three positions; finally, predict and find out the relationship between the efficiency of the match of the basketball players playing the three positions and their team ranking.

Samples for this analysis were from teams that entered and played in the quarterfinals in the first division of 2003 High School Basketball League. There were a total of eight teams, twenty-eight games, forty-one guards, thirty forwards, and twenty-one centers. Using independent samples for One-way ANOVA, the differences between the statistics of the twelve kinds of offense and defense techniques performed by all the guards, forwards and centers, and the efficiency of the match are compared. If the F value of each item reached the level of significance, then Scheffe’s multiple comparison method is used for further comparison.

The Spearman rank-order correlation method is used for predicting and finding out the relationship between the efficiency of the match of the basketball players playing the three positions (guard, forward, center) and their team ranking; finally, predict the efficiency of the match from the statistics of eleven kinds of offense and defense techniques performed by basketball players playing the three positions using Stepwise regression method.

The results revealed: from the average number of backboards, assists, and block shots of the basketball players playing the three positions, a significant difference was found between guards and centers; among them, the average number of backboards performed by centers are more than the guards; the average number of assists performed by guards are more than that of centers; the average number of block shots performed by centers are more than that of guards. The result of the comparison between the basketball players playing the three positions did not reach the level of significance, therefore, except hypothesis five, six, and eight, the others can be accepted.

In predicting the efficiency of the match by the guards, the average score, average backboards, average assists, average steals can be sequentially chose; in predicting the efficiency of the match by the forwards, the average score, average back boards, average assists, average steals and average errors can be sequentially chose; in predicting the efficiency of the match by centers, the average score, average back boards, average block shots, average steals, free throws and average assists can be sequentially chose.

The result of the relationship between the efficiency of the match by basketball players playing the three positions (guard, forward, center) and the ranking of their teams is that the efficiency of the match by the guards, forwards, and centers and their team rankings did not reach the level of significance. Therefore, prediction cannot be made and hypothesis sixteen should be accepted.