Publication:

沙灘手球比賽中得分結構之分析研究~以2010年全民運動會女子沙灘手球錦標賽為例~

本研究之目的在於了解2010年全民運動會女子沙灘手球錦標賽中，勝隊與輸隊在各項得分結構的得分情形、得分差異情形及各隊在各項得分結構與比賽結果之間的相關程度。透過現場實地錄影2010年全民運動會女子沙灘手球錦標賽之十五場比賽，經由紀錄分析取得各項得分之結構，以描述性統計分析勝隊與輸隊在各項得分結構得分之百分比，以單因子變異數分析，勝隊與輸隊在各項得分結構的得分差異，以Pearson 積差相關探討各項得分結構與比賽結果之間的相關程度，並以多元逐步迴歸建立女子沙灘手球賽各項得分結構與比賽結果之迴歸方程式，研究結果發現：

一、本研究發現在四段得分時間的得分數之高低順序分別是0-5分鐘、11-15分鐘、6-10分鐘、16-20分鐘，其中0-5分鐘和11-15分鐘是居前二的得分數佔62.03％；贏隊在0-5分鐘、6-10分鐘、11-15分鐘三個得分時間中其得分皆顯著高於輸隊；在16-20分鐘則贏隊的得分未顯著高於輸隊。

二、本研究發現在十五場比賽中有十二場在B區域的得分數最多其得百分率介於64.58％至38.24％之間；贏隊在B區域、C區域的得分顯著高於輸隊，在A區域的得分贏隊未顯著高於輸隊。

三、本研究發現在十五場比賽中，有六場以正常射門和守門員攻擊射門得分數居前二，得分率介於54.29％至79.17％之間，另有八場以旋轉射門和守門員攻擊射門得分數居前二，得分率介於52.83％至82.14％之間；贏隊在旋轉射門、守門員攻擊射門的得分顯著高於輸隊，在正常射門、空中接力射門、罰球射門的得分，則贏隊未顯著高於輸隊。

四、本研究發現十二項自變項中，有0-5分鐘、6-10分鐘、11-15分鐘、16-20分鐘、A區域、B區域、C區域、旋轉射門、守門員攻擊射門等九項與總分皆達到顯著正相關。

五、本研究發現在十二項自變項中，以0-5分鐘之得分、旋轉射門之得分、守門員攻擊射門之得分、正常射門之得分、罰球射門之得分等五項自變項，能明顯有效的預測比賽所得之總分達99％，其中以0-5分鐘之得分有66％的解釋變異項為最，其次是旋轉射門之得分有20％的解釋變異項。

The purpose of this study was to explore the relationships of scoring between the winning team and the losing one in 2010 Sport for all Women’s Beach Handball Championship. The relationships included the scoring of every scoring structure, the divergence of score, and the result of the competition. The samples were the fifteen competitions of the 2010 national athletic meet. This study were using descriptive statistics to analyze the percentage of every scoring structure between the winning team and the losing one, one-way analysis of variance to analyze the divergence of every scoring structure, Pearson product-moment correlation to analyze the relationship of every scoring structure and the results, and the multiple regression analysis to build the regression formula of every scoring structure and the results.

The major findings were summarized as follows:

1.The scoring high to low were 0-5 minute, 11-15 minute, 6-10 minute, and 16-20 minute. The scoring of time interval 0-5 and 11-15 were 62.03%. The winning team was significant higher than the losing one in 0-5 minute, 6-10minute, and 11-15 minute, but in 16-20 minute was not.

2.The twelve competitions got most score in district B, and the rate was 64.58% to 38.24%. The winning team was significant higher than the losing one in district B and C, but not in A.

3.Six competitions had better score in goal shooting and goalkeeper shooting. The rate was 54.29% to 79.17%. Eight competitions had better score in in-flight and goalkeeper shooting, and the rate was 52.83% to 82.14%. The winning team was significant higher than the losing one in the in-flight and goalkeeper shooting, but not in shooting, airborne relay, and penalty shot.

4.In this study, the twelve independent variables had significant positive correlation.

5.In this study, the five independent variables included the scoring of 0-5 minute, in-flight, goalkeeper shooting, shooting, and penalty shot could predict the competition in 99%. Above all, 0-5 minute was the best and in-flight were the second.